MONETARY EXCHANGE RATE MODEL REVISITED: COINTEGRATION AND FORECASTING IN HETEROGENEOUS PANEL DATA

ABSTRACT This study re-examines the exchange rate-monetary fundamentals link with in a panel data framework. Pure time series and pooled time series-based tests fail to find empirical support for monetary exchange rate models (Sarantis (1994) and Groen (2000)). Using recently developed Panel Data Techniques; we would test the exchange rates and monetary fundamentals in a quarterly panel of 19 countries mostly from developed region extending from 1973.1 to 1997.1. Present analysis would be centered on three issues. First, we test whether exchange rates cointegrated with long run determinants predicted by economic theory. For this purpose, we would be employed Pedroni (1997) and Larsson et al (2001) panel cointegration tests for empirical validation of the study. Second, we will also test the short run implications of exchange rate model. These short run implications will be tested; through adapting the panel VEC model the short run identification schemes of Johansen and Juselius (1994). The last issue is to examine the ability for monetary fundamentals to forecast future exchange rate returns. The present endeavor will follow Mark and Sul (2001) approach for forecasting in the case of Panel Data Testing.Panel cointegration; Prediction; Exchange rates.

Pembelajaran IPA Fisika Berbasis Outdoor-inquiry untuk Meningkatkan Keterampilan Proses Sains Siswa Dikelas VIII SMPN 5 Pekanbaru

The purpose of this study was to described and know the effectiveness of the improvement Physics process skills in the class VIII Junior High School 5 Pekanbaru. approach study outdoor inquiry in light materials. The research was conducted from February 2016 until mei 2016 by population all of students in class VIII junior high school 5 Pekanbaru.The plan in this research is design Intact Group comparasion, with the class VIII8 as an experimental class and class VIII7 as the control class. The research instrument used is Physics process skills achievement test array of aspect: formulate, plan, hypothetical, conclude and communicate. The results of the research indicated of all aspect 86.8% in very well categories and very efectively in the class VIII8 and other hand 80.97% in good category and effectively. As conclution approach study outdoor inquiry can improve the Physics process skills of student junior High School 5 Pekanbaru

Keterampilan Proses Fisika Siswa melalui LKS Berbasis Jelajah Alam Sekitar (JAS) pada Materi Pokok Suhu dan Kalor di SMAN 2 XIII Koto Kampar”.

The purpose of this study was to describe the results of the physics students learn the skills and know the difference between the skills students learn physics processes using worksheets based natural learnig (JAS) with students who learn using worksheets conventional. The research was conducted from February 2015 through June 2015 with a population of class X IPA and sample class X IPA 25 students and XIPA 2, 24 students. The design of this research is a form of pre-experimental design intact-group comparison. Instruments used test results of students' learning skills physics process which comprises 12 multiple choice questions. Data collection techniques in research is the provision of test results of physical processes of learning skills of students. Technical analysis of data used descriptive analysis and inferential analysis. Descriptive analysis of the average absorption of 80% class experiment with both categories while the control group was 74% in both categories. Based on the absorption of students it can be said the effectiveness of learning in the experimental class and control class is effective. Classical mastery learning students in the experimental class is 84% ​​complete and 62.5% control class is declared incomplete. Classical completeness indicators of process skills in the experimental class that is 100% complete and incomplete control class is 75%. Inferential analysis through statistical calculation t test SPSS 16. tcount = 2.1667 and ttable = 2.012. Based on the criteria of hypothesis testing tcount> ttable so that there is a significant difference against worksheets skills through a process physics-based Natural base learning Around with worksheets conventional level of 95%

Optimal locations and computational frameworks of FSR and IMU sensors for measuring gait abnormalities

Neuromuscular diseases cause abnormal joint movements and drastically alter gait patterns in patients. The analysis of abnormal gait patterns can provide clinicians with an in-depth insight into implementing appropriate rehabilitation therapies. Wearable sensors are used to measure the gait patterns of neuromuscular patients due to their non-invasive and cost-efficient characteristics. FSR and IMU sensors are the most popular and efficient options. When assessing abnormal gait patterns, it is important to determine the optimal locations of FSRs and IMUs on the human body, along with their computational framework. The gait abnormalities of different types and the gait analysis systems based on IMUs and FSRs have therefore been investigated. After studying a variety of research articles, the optimal locations of the FSR and IMU sensors were determined by analysing the main pressure points under the feet and prime anatomical locations on the human body. A total of seven locations (the big toe, heel, first, third, and fifth metatarsals, as well as two close to the medial arch) can be used to measure gate cycles for normal and flat feet. It has been found that IMU sensors can be placed in four standard anatomical locations (the feet, shank, thigh, and pelvis). A section on computational analysis is included to illustrate how data from the FSR and IMU sensors are processed. Sensor data is typically sampled at 100 Hz, and wireless systems use a range of microcontrollers to capture and transmit the signals. The findings reported in this article are expected to help develop efficient and cost-effective gait analysis systems by using an optimal number of FSRs and IMUs

Hasil Belajar Kognitif IPA Fisika melalui Penerapan Strategi Index Card Match pada Materi Kalor di Kelas Vii4 SMPN 20 Pekanbaru

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan hasil belajar kognitif IPA Fisika melalui penerapan strategi Index Card Match Pada Materi Kalor di Kelas VII4 SMPN 20 Pekanbaru. Subjek penelitian ini adalah siswa kelas VII4 sebanyak 38 orang yang terdiri dari 14 siswa laki-laki dan 24 siswa perempuan. Instrumen pengumpulan data dalam penelitian ini adalah tes hasil belajar kognitif yang terdiri dari 20 butir soal pilihan ganda. Analisis data dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis deskriptif untuk melihat gambaran dari hasil belajar kognitif IPA Fisika dengan menggunakan kriteria daya serap, efektivitas pembelajaran, dan ketuntasan belajar siswa. Dari hasil analisis data menunjukkan: daya serap rata-rata kelas adalah 85,78% dengan kategori amat baik, efektivitas pembelajaran dinyatakan sangat efektif, ketuntasan belajar siswa secara klasikal bernilai 94,73% dan dinyatakan tuntas, serta ketuntasan materi pelajaran sebesar 80,00% yang dinyatakan tuntas. Dengan demikian, dapat disimpulkan bahwa penerapan strategi Index Card Match dapat dijadikan sebagai alternative dalam proses pembelajaran di kelas VII4 SMPN 20 Pekanbaru

Kemampuan Pemecahan Masalah Siswa dengan Penerapan Modeling Instruction pada Konsep Listrik Dinamis

This research aims to describe the problem solving skill of student in class X-7 SMA Negeri 5 Pekanbaru with the implementation of Modeling Instruction in lesson dynamic electric. The research used pre-experimental with one-shot case study design.The subjects were students of class X-7 totalling 39 students, consisting of 16 male students and 23 female students. The instrument of data collection in this study is the problem solving ability test consists of 5 essay questions. Analysis of the data in this study is a descriptive analysis to see an overview of the problem solving skill of student by using the criteria of the level of problem solving skills . The research showed the problem solving skill of student in class X-7 SMA Negeri 5 Pekanbaru with the implementation of Modeling Instruction in lesson dynamic electric are at a medium level (67,46%). Therefore in teaching physics, by using Modeling Instruction could train problem solving skill of student

The Factors Influencing Young Voters in Determining the Choice: Case Study of Local Election in Bengkulu

The aim of this study was to create an explanatory model that allows analyzing the factors influencing young voters in determining the choice; case study in local election in Bengkulu. We also analyzed the combined relationship between these variables, together with age, and area of origin. We worked with a sample group of 400 young adults between the ages of 18-22 from the city of Bengkulu (Indonesia). The data was subjected to a structural equation modeling SEM analysis, which allowed for the corroboration of the following hypotheses: the higher the education level, the more the interest to choose; the more the experiences, the better the perception to choose; the better the tagline and propaganda, the more interest to choose; the closer the ethnic, the more interest to choose. The result showed that candidate who has more experiences is the most interest candidate to choose by young adult voter . The model obtained allows for discussion of the explanatory value of these variables

Aspek Hukum Kebijakan Geothermal Di Indonesia

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui aspek hukum kebijakan pemerintah Indonesia dalam menguasai, mengatur hingga mengelola Geothermal Energi dalam bentuk kebijakan. Selain itu juga untuk menguraikan upaya hukum apa yang telah dilakukan yang berdasarkan berdasarkan peraturan Perundang-undangan yang berlaku dikaitkan dengan rangka pembangunan ketahanan energi nasional. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode pendekatan yuridis normatif, dengan jenis penelitian eksplanatoris, serta menggunakan sumber data sekunder yaitu dari peraturan Perundang-undangan yang berlaku dan bahan lain penjelas dari peraturan tersebut. Metode pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui studi literatur atau melalui studi kepustakaan untuk mendapatkan bahan hukum primer, sekunder maupun tersier. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa upaya pemerintah Indonesia dalam memanfaatkan Geothermal Energi masih belum optimal sehingga belum dapat mendukung ketahanan energi nasional. pemanfaatan geothermal energi dalam rangka ketahanan energi nasional belum sepenuhnya maksimal jika dikaitkan dengan upaya hukum yang dilakukan oleh pemerintah selama ini. Energy panas bumi hanya termanfaatkan sejulam 05 % dari keseluruhan sumberdaya panas bumi yang dimiliki oleh pemerintah Indonesia. Kedepan, sudah saatnya pemerintah mulai mengoptimalkan pengelolaan Geothermal Energi demi terwujudnya pembangunan ketahanan energi nasional